Feeds:
Posts
Comments

Archive for September, 2011

There’s been hullabaloo about Bill Daley being heavily criticized on the left as too appeasing to Republicans. Similarly, there’s a new book from Ron Suskind about how Larry Summer, Tim Geithner, and Rahm Emanuel convinced the President to bail out the banks at his own expense.

But all this discussion of President Obama’s staff ignores the guy who picked them all — Obama himself. If Obama had wanted to choose a larger stimulus, he could have picked the plan of Christina Romer. He didn’t. If Obama had wanted to push for a more stringent financial reform package, he could have nominated Elizabeth Warren to head the CFPA. He didn’t. If Obama had wanted a public option, he would have included it in his original health care plan. He didn’t.

This is not to say that Obama is some sort of secret conservative; simply that his staff is a reflection of his policies. Obama has never been keen to throw red meat to his liberal base, and he has always believed in achieving the possible rather than the impossible. That may not be what we wanted to see in him, but that is what he is doing.

Consider the latest jobs bill. Obama could have chosen to put forth a truly ambitious package that was doomed to fail. He could have put forth a national infrastructure bank, or proposed a second stimulus. Instead, he chose his modest package, of which some parts might at least become law. Obama would rather do something than nothing (at least with legislation… nominations are something else entirely).

The criticism of Obama’s staff this week reminded me of similar criticism of the Bush 43 staff, in that it ignored any possibility of the President’s own agency. President Obama would be the first person to take responsibility for his decisions; he owns them. If he has made mistakes, they are his, not those of his staff. Clinton picked Dick Morris to triangulate, because Clinton wanted to triangulate. Bush picked Dick Cheney to advise the torture regime, because Bush wanted to torture. The modern President is not a rube.

Certainly the President’s aides and staff are important; they handle the day-to-day operations and adjust what the President hears. But in the end, it is Obama who is making the big calls.

Read Full Post »

Dahlia Lithwick — official Unpersons hero — has a new piece up today about Republicans’ lack of faith in government… except in the case of the death penalty. While all other functions of government in Republicans’ eyes are bureaucratic nightmares of erroneous decision-making and inefficient backlogs, the death penalty and the criminal justice system are never wrong:

These same Republicans who are dubious of government’s ability to do anything right have an apparently bottomless faith in the capital-justice system. Everything is broken in America, they claim—except the machinery of death.

I would point out, though, that this is not restricted to the death penalty.

The Republican party line wants the government to butt out of doctors’ decisions… except when it comes to abortion, death-with-dignity, or medical marijuana.

The Republican party can reject the government’s fact-finding… except when the military says it has evidence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.

The Republican party dislikes government intrusion in private life, unless it concerns listening in on phone calls, censoring the internet, or policing private, consensual sex between adults.

My point is that the Republican hypocrisy about “big government” is nothing new, nor is it limited to criminal law and capital punishment.

Read Full Post »

Game theory problem for Democrat in unsafe districts, who are already refusing to pass Obama’s extremely modest jobs bill. Let’s assume the following game grid.

   VOTE NO VOTE YES
 BILL PASSES  +5%  -1%
 BILL FAILS  -5%  -5%

So I’ve based these guesstimate numbers on evidence gleaned from Nate Silver about how the health care reform and bailout bills hurt Democrats. I also assume that Democrats benefited from an overall improvement in the economy thanks to the stimulus. Without the bailout package, the economy would have probably tanked further, thus totally dooming Democrats’ 2010 election hopes. (That’s why “Bill Fails” leads to a continued decline in vote share.) Silver writes:

There are inherent limitations to this sort of analysis. It does seem fairly clear, however, that individual Democrats who voted against the health care bill — and the bailout extension – overperformed those who did in otherwise similar districts who voted for them, and it seems probable that these votes also damaged the electoral standing of Democrats over all.

If this is the case (and there are plenty of reasons why it might not be), then this game would suggest that the ideal situation for Democrats would be voting against the bill, but somehow getting the bill passed anyways. Yet, this is almost certainly impossible. If even Democrats don’t support the bill, it immediately falls into the Bill Fails category, thus hurting all Democrats.

Basically, the collective-action problem here causes Democrats to vote “no,” hoping that the bill will still pass. This leads the bill to probably not pass (or get watered down substantially), which leads to a worse economy and all Democrats getting boned. Thus, the least bad scenario would be to vote yes and accept the 1% decline in exchange for the expected effects of the added stimulus to the economy. But no one can do it because everyone fears wipeout in November.

And yet, they fail to realize that if Obama does not perform well in November, NONE OF THEM WILL EITHER.

And thus, the story of how Democrats shot themselves in the foot/arm/face. Again. As always.

Read Full Post »

What does it mean to be a genius? What do you think of? Does such a person accomplish his or her greatest work by their mid-20’s? Einstein sure did. So many of the greatest scientists in history did. But where does this genius come from, particularly from our most creative artists? History is littered with examples of troubled genius, where insight or achievement comes from a dark place or a troubled mind. Van Gogh was 37 when he died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound. John Nash suffered from schizophrenia. Musical legends like Cobain, Joplin, Hendrix and Morrison were all dead at 27. Sylvia Plath, Ernest Hemingway are just some of many writers who have taken their lives. The list goes on and on.

Here is a TED talk from Elizabeth Gilbert, best known for writing Eat, Pray, Love. I think she hits on something very important near the beginning. At one point she says (and I’m paraphrasing based on typing this out as I listen to her say it):

Norman Mailer said shortly before his death that “every one of my books has killed me a little more.”  …And we don’t even blink when we hear someone say this. We’ve internalized and accepted that creativity and suffering are somehow inherently linked. Artistry will ultimately lead to anguish.

So I was happy when I read something recently about Michael Chabon. He’s a pretty damn good writer. And he once told reporters that he adheres to a rigid writing routine of 1,000 words per day, 10:00 AM through 3:00 PM, Sunday through Thursday. He added: “There have been plenty of self-destructive rebel-angel novelists over the years, but writing is about getting your work done and getting your work done every day.”

I find it reassuring to know that Chabon doesn’t need to start drinking at 9 in the morning, that he doesn’t engage in self-destructive behavior out of fear of not living up to past successes, and that his best work does not depend on him coming from a dark place. Rather, he simply works hard on a set schedule, and trusts that good work will come from it. I agree with Gilbert that we have too readily accepted the construct that creative genius and suffering are necessarily linked. It doesn’t have to be that way.

Read Full Post »

If you are a craven politician, just don’t resign. “Surviving” a scandal is pretty easy if all you want is to “survive.”

Scandal-plagued people who refuse to resign (David Vitter, Larry Craig, Charlie Rangel, Maxine Waters, et al.) keep their jobs. Furthermore, despite impropriety that the rest of the country dislikes, their constituents don’t seem to mind.

Additionally, party members should not force you to resign, because it actually costs them in the long run. They are much less likely to win the seat after you’ve resigned (see William Jefferson, Chris Lee, and now Anthony Weiner).

Voters reward stubbornness and craven lying. Live up to your reputations, politicians!

Read Full Post »

One of the things that infuriates me when watching football is coaches misusing their timeouts and wasting valuable seconds off the clock.

Consider this sequence from TEN@JAX on Sunday.

1st and 10 at TEN 3 (Shotgun) M.Hasselbeck scrambles up the middle to TEN 12 for 9 yards (D.Landry).
2nd and 1 at TEN 12 (Shotgun) M.Hasselbeck pass short left to N.Washington to TEN 22 for 10 yards (D.Landry).
1st and 10 at TEN 22 (No Huddle, Shotgun) M.Hasselbeck pass short left to N.Washington to TEN 28 for 6 yards (D.Coleman).
2nd and 4 at TEN 28 (No Huddle, Shotgun) M.Hasselbeck pass short right to K.Britt to TEN 46 for 18 yards (D.Lowery).
1st and 10 at TEN 46 (No Huddle) M.Hasselbeck spiked the ball to stop the clock.
2nd and 10 at TEN 46 (Shotgun) M.Hasselbeck pass deep left intended for K.Britt INTERCEPTED by D.Lowery at JAX 20. D.Lowery to JAX 16 for -4 yards (K.Britt).

This sequence, which included 4 pass plays, took an inexcusable 1:38 of clock time. It took the Titans 30 seconds to get back to the line of scrimmage after Hasselbeck’s run. Sure, the series might have ended in an interception anyways, but by that point, Hasselbeck had to throw a Hail Mary.

If only Tennessee had a timeout left! When had they used that valuable TO? Randomly in the 3rd quarter after a successful pass play by the Jaguars, after which point, there was no defensive stop at all. In fact, immediately afterwards, an unnecessary roughness penalty on Tennessee ended up helping to seal the deal for the Jags. Some timeout that was.

Tennessee has a total of 18 assistant coaches, including such mundane things as “offensive assistant/quality control.” Why not have one guy whose job it is just to watch the clock and make sure you’re not blowing your timeouts and wasting time getting to the line — especially in a tight game?

Read Full Post »

but Wu-Tang is, and always will be, for the children.

Read Full Post »

Or sad that it’s Tyler Perry?

The rest of the list is also baffling. James Patterson made $84 million? Dr. Phil made $80 million?

Anyways, here’s Madea:

PRODUCED BY TYLER PERRY

DIRECTED BY TYLER PERRY

WRITTEN BY TYLER PERRY

ALL ROLES PLAYED BY TYLER PERRY

Read Full Post »

The New York Times Magazine printed a chat dialogue this past weekend between Michael Ignatieff, David Rieff, James Traub, Paul Berman, and Ian Buruma, about the aftermath of 9/11 and its effect on foreign policy.

The chat, between liberal writers (mostly reporters), gives a fair view of the chats inside the salons of liberal intelligentsia. As such, it also epitomizes everything that is wrong with the liberal response to 9/11.

From the outset, the discussion is entirely between well-to-do, white, male, Western writers, none of whom speak Arabic or have spent an extended time in the Middle East or Central Asia (despite all being “experts”). This is not merely a cosmetic criticism — any discussion about post-9/11 foreign policy is almost meaningless without someone from the Arab/Muslim (not interchangeable, I know) world, which is actually targeted by our wars. Here are a bunch of armchair intellectuals trying to fumble with what the “Arab Spring” “means” — without talking to any Arabs! Many more Iraqis and Afghans have died than coalition forces, and yet, here we are debating if we maybe should have done things differently.

Beyond that initial complaint, the discussion largely centers on the competence and scope of our interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq. In fact, the only participant in the discussion who seems to think that American intervention for “liberal” causes was largely a bad idea is Buruma. This excerpt is typical:

MALCOMSON: In terms of what should be done now, two questions: Do you (each) believe that the Western or American public, having financed and fought most of this since 9/11, is eager to engage in further advancement of liberal arguments? If not, does that matter? And relatedly, President Obama has to figure out what to do himself, pretty practically. (He makes little public reference to 9/11, interestingly.) Where do you see whatever lessons we might have learned in the past decade taking policies in the near future?

TRAUB: On the first question, this is what troubles me about David’s response. There is a big difference between humility and despair. I think we have learned a lot about limits. But I don’t think the lesson is: We can do nothing to shape better outcomes in the world; we only make things worse. I would say that the American people, far from being interventionist, as they were in the aftermath of 9/11, are now heavily isolationist. How does one find the language that justifies a significant and positive American role in the world? Obama is searching — not so successfully, right now.

BURUMA: One way is to be concrete. I really don’t know what “advancing the liberal argument” means, except that it is supposed to make us feel warm all over. Are we talking about U.S. government policies? Fine. Military intervention, to topple regimes, the Napoleonic enterprise of revolutionary war, is almost always a mistake. Humanitarian intervention is the way this is phrased these days, but in fact this is often not so different from the Napoleonic way. There are things a powerful government can do to help democrats and liberals in other countries short of military force. Sometimes it is better to do nothing much at all. I believe that Obama’s relative passivity vis a vis the Green Revolution in Iran, for example, actually helped. It gave room for people in the Middle East to find their own way, without fear of being seen as America’s boys.

BERMAN: I think that “advancing the liberal argument” has a simple meaning. We should try to demonstrate the falsity of horrendous ideas — e.g., the false nature of Islamism. Islamism is not “the solution,” as it claims to be. It is a compilation of modern and ancient ideas, admixed with a great many horrendous European ideas. We should try to expose the nature of these doctrines. Very important, for instance, is to put up an argument against anti-Semitism, a key element in totalitarian doctrines, sooner or later. Women’s rights: another big theme.

Do these arguments mean nothing? We know very well that, in Iran, the universities are a center of resistance. Do people in other parts of the world listen to our own arguments? They do. They argue back. Exchanges go on. This — THIS — is the actual solution: the advancing of lucidity. I wish Obama did a bit more of it, given that, unlike Bush, he has the talent to do so. But it is not ultimately for politicians to do. This is something that intellectuals, writers, artists, journalists can do — something that quite a few NGO’s have been doing, with success too, as we have lately learned.

BURUMA: If only everybody in the world would read The New Republic, the world would solve all its problems.

Buruma’s snark at the end, although not entirely professional, was a necessary counterbalance to all the chest-thumping. In Berman’s world (and even Traub’s), the question about 9/11 has been all about us. It’s “what about America?” and “what should America do?” rather than considering what we have done and who it has affected. (Luckily Malcolmson addresses this point, if only briefly.) If only we intervened in the “right” way with the “right” types of force, we could succeed in winning hearts and minds. But this ignores entirely the question of our right to be in a war in the first place.

The discussants here fail to see 9/11 and our subsequent foreign policy in terms appropriate in scale for the event. Malcolmson goes so far as to compare the post-9/11 era to the Civil War — about as far from a comparable situation as one can get. 9/11 does not represent the potential end of the republic the way the Civil War did. The “existential threat” that 9/11 represented was never existential at all. 9/11 was al Qaeda’s best shot, and it was an attack on a symbol, not a military target — never a good strategic turn. (Attacking symbols rather than military targets was why the London Blitz failed… also, radar.) All the bloviating about “the threat to our way of life” as an excuse to go somewhere else and blow people up, and for what? Military responses to terrorism have almost always failed historically (see, for example, the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand), and yet that’s exactly what we rushed to do.

I’ll end on a pacifist note. Every discussant here believes that military intervention is appropriate in a variety of circumstances, with differing beliefs on what those circumstances are. The pacifist voice has been consistently marginalized in “serious” foreign policy debates, and anyone who says anything resembling pacifism is treated as participating in an intellectual exercise rather than the real world. When discussing post-9/11 foreign policy, the debate is always about “how much” military force to use, rather than “whether” to use force at all. “Give peace a chance” may be derided as unrealistic and naive, but I’d note that nobody has actually tried it.

(Side note: Try as I might, I could not find any similar roundtable discussion by Arab-American or Muslim about the American response to 9/11. How strange.)

Read Full Post »

Like Stendhal below, I don’t have much to say or add on this particular day, ten years after 9/11. I will merely note that one aspect of the WTC that I find particularly compelling is those who jumped from the towers. One of the best pieces of art written about the attacks is this article in Esquire by Tom Junod about The Falling Man – the name given to the unidentified man in one of the most famous images captured that day:

You might be surprised to learn that official documents recorded all jumpers’ deaths as homicides and not as suicides. You might also be surprised to learn that estimates of the number of jumpers vary but credibly go as high as 200. That means that as many as 7-8% of those who died in the WTC that day died by jumping, and in the North Tower alone it was more like 16%. One of my favorite passages is when Junod exposes the seemingly elegant, symmetrical grace of the fall as a lie:

Photographs lie. Even great photographs. Especially great photographs. The Falling Man in Richard Drew’s picture fell in the manner suggested by the photograph for only a fraction of a second, and then kept falling. The photograph functioned as a study of doomed verticality, a fantasia of straight lines, with a human being slivered at the center, like a spike. In truth, however, the Falling Man fell with neither the precision of an arrow nor the grace of an Olympic diver. He fell like everyone else, like all the other jumpers — trying to hold on to the life he was leaving, which is to say that he fell desperately, inelegantly. In Drew’s famous photograph, his humanity is in accord with the lines of the buildings. In the rest of the sequence — the eleven outtakes — his humanity stands apart. He is not augmented by aesthetics; he is merely human, and his humanity, startled and in some cases horizontal, obliterates everything else in the frame.

Read Full Post »

« Newer Posts - Older Posts »